Welcome to DFS coverage of the English Premier League on Saturday January 1st. Below are the top DFS EPL picks on DraftKings and FanDuel for Matchday 21, which take into account every aspect of the roster, from Awesemo’s expert screenings and prizes to the popularity of DFS fantasy football. These EPL DFS football picks should help create highly projected lineups in DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy football tournaments and cash games.
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** All BetMGM odds **
Arsenal (+475) v Manchester City (-200), O / U 2.5
Watford (+425) v Tottenham (-165), O / U 2.5
Crystal Palace (+210) vs. West Ham (+ 135), O / U 2.5
Arsenal v Manchester City
Bukayo Saka (DraftKings: $ 13,500)
Kevin De Bruyne (DraftKings: $ 15,300)
Arsenal host Manchester City. Arsenal have recorded just one loss this year at home and the fifth best attacking, with 1.77 goals expected per game. Manchester City are at the top of the EPL in the standings and reflect their dominant performances at home and away. They rank second in the EPL with expected goals of 2.21 per game on the road. Both clubs are strong defensively with Arsenal allowing an expected goal of 0.95 at home and Manchester City allowing just 0.77 away. They will get a high property in the 5-1, 4-2 stacks given the favorite tag north of -200 (BetMGM).
Bukayo Saka makes sense given the set of actions and its ability to add up DFS output with fouls drawn and volume of fire. Saka his club with 2.67 shots per game. Arsenal have recorded five consecutive wins, with more than three goals in four of them with Saka in the lead. Flexible options for Arsenal start with Alexandre Lacazette. He comes in at $ 6,800 and manages the PK. Lacazette needs a goal even with the throw-in that makes him a GPP game. Gabriel Martinelli and Martin Odegaard will be the flexible roles in an Arsenal stack.
Martinelli averages 2.34 shots per game and creates 3.12 scoring chances. Odegaard is just behind Saka among the team leaders in created odds with 4.26 per game. He seizes his chances at the net and does well to distribute to his teammates an assist or a goal in 61% of his starts. Saka would be a priority, but either of those wingers fills a flexible role in scoring upside down at an extended-scoring club. Should Emile smith rowe see the starting 11, he is a top priority in Arsenal’s stacks and single spots with fixed shares and reduced wages for the floor.
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The starting 11 will determine the priority of the huge prizes for Manchester City. De Bruyne has the floor and has trouble getting by without Riyad Mahrez. If De Bruyne is out of the starting XI, which is never out of the question the way Pep mixes up his rotations, Ilkay Gundogan will take care of his choice of decorations. Gundogan averages one goal in 58% of his starts while creating 3.50 scoring chances and 5.44 crosses per game. He multiplies his attempts at the net with 2.72 shots per game. Mahrez has contributed more than one goal or assist per start. He averages 3.57 shots per game and 7.03 crosses per game, through an even distribution of open play and corners.
Rahim sterling and Phil Foden. score threats, Foden building better ground with open play crossover volume. A cash build for a Manchester City stack would see a De Bruyne or Mahrez captain. In GPP, Mahrez would spend to be different, while Sterling adds an extra attack in the flex while chasing goals.
Watford v Tottenham
Son Hueng-Min (DraftKings: $ 16,500, FanDuel: $ 20)
Harry kane (DraftKings: $ 15,300, FanDuel: $ 19)
Tottenham are the third best defensive team on the road in the EPL. They allow an expected goal of 1.02 per game. Their offense created chances with 1.17 but can’t seem to finish around the net. Only Newcastle have allowed more actual home goals than Watford and that indicates a big advantage for Tottenham.
The captain’s game looks pretty straightforward with Son Heung-Min in gambling. He averages 6.12 crosses per game and 2.5 shots per game. His eight rushing goals and his team make him the sure captain in a game over. On FanDuel for the list of two matches it is a top game with Harry Kane. Kane is the choice in GPP. He needs to score but has found a rhythm in the recent form of shooting volume. Kane has 2.95 shots per game and hits the target north of 45%. Son is also precise in his attempts, justifying the decision to stack the two on FanDuel and shuffle the games below from the other match on the two-match roster.
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The interesting pivot to the captain is Hugo Lloris. He is a world-class goalkeeper and World Cup champion who has kept his clean sheet in 41% of his starts this season. Watford have found the back of the net in six straight games which would destroy Lloris’ value, but the advantage is worth reckoning with the pay cut to accommodate Tottenham’s attack. The flex will round off with Matt doherty should Sergio Reguilon not be in good shape. Lucas Moura has an increasing contribution to the target and Emerson is active on the wing.
Emmanuel Denis. has one goal in six of his last eight games. The volume of this stroke is 2.12 shots per game. The game will do Dennis no service and would be at stake on flex in the lineups without Lloris or a Tottenham punt defender. On FanDuel the price is in the range of Kane. The absence of Tom cleverley opens fixed shares probably dominated by Joao pedro but a net at Masina would make sense. Masina can add to the DFS outing with crossover volume and 4.30 tackles and steals won. Juraj Kucka fulfills the same defensive measures as another option to stack Tottenham’s high-priced options.
Crystal Palace v West Ham
Will Hughes (DraftKings: $ 10,800, FanDuel: $ 10)
Jarrod bowen (DraftKings: $ 16,800, FanDuel: $ 18)
Crystal Palace and West Ham face off in the middle of the EPL table. Both clubs are in the EPL top 9 for goals scored. Over 2.5 goals in total is -120 (BetMGM). Crystal Palace have recorded just one clean sheet in their last eight games and have allowed more than two goals in four of those outings. West Ham doesn’t know what a clean sheet is despite having two of the best defensive midfielders in the game. On FanDuel, that would be the game to find goal options and leave the goalkeeper decision to Tottenham chase for a clean sheet.
Jarrod bowen is the ideal captain with 31.25% goal contributions for his club and a built floor on indirect sets. His 2.56 shots per trail match only Michel antonio who has 2.93 per game. Bowen leads the club with 3.81 chances to score created. Antonio is still on the line for the higher score. He will seek to manage the PK with the return of Declan rice to remove the doubt by having Marc Noble ruining Antonio’s hard-earned PK, see previous match log. Tomas Soucek won tackles and interceptions as a floor builder. His advantage is to convert his attempts to more than one shot per game. The risk comes from his mistakes against a club that has the ability to draw a lot. The price of rice is pretty much free and its average is north of three tackles and steals won. He’s good at mixing an average of 1.66 crosses and assisted shots.
Wilfried Zaha will come back from suspension and reclaim the PK sets. He built his floor on three draws per match and 2.94 shots and assisted shots. Odsonne Edouard is a threat up front with 2.50 shots per game and north of three in recent form. They both make interesting captain games in GPP. Will hughes allows forwards to insert forward on both sides of this game. Hughes averages 5.67 crosses per game and 2.97 scoring chances created. He makes one foul per match and can 2x his salary without contribution to the goal.
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